The National Party I think would be shocked by the latest poll from Roy
Morgan, that shows clearly that Labour, the Greens, and Mana could govern the
country, and would win an election should one be held tomorrow:
A new poll
records another boost for a future Labour-Greens coalition.
The latest
Roy Morgan sees a 1 per cent rise in support for a potential alliance between
the two parties.
Support
for the Labour party was unchanged (37 per cent) from the last poll a fortnight
ago. The Greens rose to 12.5 per cent - up 1 per cent.
National
was down slightly - 0.5 per cent - to 41.5 per cent. Its coalition parties were
largely unchanged: the Maori Party was on 1.5 per cent (up 0.5 per cent), ACT
0.5 per cent (unchanged) and United Future 0 per cent (down 0.5 per cent).
The last
Roy Morgan poll, held in the wake of the election of new Labour leader David
Cunliffe, saw that party registering its highest popularity since Helen Clark
was prime minister.
Pollster
Garry Morgan said a Labour/Greens ticket would win easily if an election were
held today.
He said
Cunliffe has "re-invigorated" Labour, which sat just 4.5 per cent
behind National.
NZ First
rose slightly to 5 per cent; the Conservative Party (0.5 per cent) took a 1.5
per cent hit. Mana was unchanged on 0.5 per cent.
Roy Morgan
polled 839 voters between September 30 and October 13.
Confidence
in the government also fell with 55 per cent (down 4 per cent) saying New Zealand is
heading in the right direction, compared to 31 per cent (up 1.5 per cent) who
listed the wrong direction.
They [National] are already accepting that they have no support parties to assist
them [National] next year. They know that the ACT party as such is dead in the
water with Banks awaiting trial for fraud. While Dunne betrayed them by leaking
information to Fairfax
reporter during the GCSB stuff up. The Maori Party is dying a natural death
because of its blind obedience to the National agenda of Asset Sales, beneficiary
bashing, and future mining.
Now Key is no slug when it comes to manipulation of the media, he knows
the above is true so his strategy will revolve around not needing support
parties as such, but he will seek to buy support via other means, not win
support via policy adaption, but by buying with cash his support required.
Here is what No Right Turn wrote on his blog:
Prime Minister John Key has
indicated he will abandon election-year game-playing such as the Epsom cup of
tea stunt, and instead will be more explicit with voters about whether he wants
them to vote strategically in some electorates next year.
Asked whether Act leader John Banks could expect another "cup of tea" in election year after being told he must face trial over donations returns from his unsuccessful 2010 Auckland mayoralty campaign, Mr Key said it was too early to say.
He then indicated he intended to abandon such stunts and instead set out a clear position on coalition partners well in advance, including possibly openly endorsing candidates from other parties in some seats.
He said decisions would be made over the next year, but National intended to be clear with voters about its coalition options.
Asked whether Act leader John Banks could expect another "cup of tea" in election year after being told he must face trial over donations returns from his unsuccessful 2010 Auckland mayoralty campaign, Mr Key said it was too early to say.
He then indicated he intended to abandon such stunts and instead set out a clear position on coalition partners well in advance, including possibly openly endorsing candidates from other parties in some seats.
He said decisions would be made over the next year, but National intended to be clear with voters about its coalition options.
I don't have a problem with parties saying "we want to work with this person", or with them refusing to contest a seat or standing in name only if it advantages them. But I do want them to be open and honest that that is what they are doing, so that voters can judge both the relationship and the tactic. Key's announcement is a positive step towards such honesty and it is good to see.
Key is already being successful when No Right Turn wrote his last paragraph
above, for it assumes that Key and National has a desire to be open and honest.
Key will say and do what ever it takes to win, he has no interest in being open
and honest and his record thus far absolutely proves that fact.
Did he sack
John Banks when the police report eighteen months ago said clearly that Banks
lied and the only thing stopping him from appearing in front of a judge was the
fact that the time for a prosecution had expired. Key never even bothered to read the report...according to him that is...yet other lie.
Did he own up the fact that
the Police, GCSB, broke the law, no he did not.
Did he admit that after have a
meal with Sky City boss
that he suddenly stopped all the other bids for building a convention centre in
Auckland, no he
did not.
John Key wants us all to forget his past dirty tricks, to forget his
manipulation, forget that National refused to make changes to the present MMP
voting system, ones that would have stopped the buying of support by the
National party…they clearly did not support democracy and honesty.
During the press conference and public relations exercise used by No
Right Turn above here is what they also wrote: [from the Herald]
The cup of
tea incident involving Mr Key and Mr Banks - aimed at sending a message to
Epsom voters that Mr Key wanted them to vote for Mr Banks - was one of the
defining features of the 2011 campaign, partly because of the fallout after a
reporter's voice recorder was found on the table and the contents of the pair's
conversation was later leaked.
The cup of
tea became a way of signaling voters in an electorate that two parties could
work together, but Mr Key's change of stance may indicate it has had its day
now voters are more aware of strategic voting.
Options
National will be assessing include whether it can get Mr Banks back into
Parliament, whether it should give Conservative Party leader Colin Craig a
clear run in a safe National electorate, or whether it can help boost the
Conservatives' chances of getting more than 5 per cent of the vote.
Mr Banks
resigned as a minister this week after he was committed for trial over
donations from SkyCity and Kim Dotcom in the 2010 Auckland mayoral campaign which was declared
as anonymous.
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